Problem #4

Stable Forking Conjecture

Proof claimed!!High impact — resolution would likely be publishable in a top journal (Advances-level or above)

The Stable Forking Conjecture states that if TT is a simple theory then forking is always witnessed by stable formulas. In particular, if tp(a/Cb)\operatorname{tp}(a/Cb) forks over CC then there is a stable formula φ(x,y)\varphi(x, y) such that φ(x,b)tp(a/Cb)\varphi(x, b) \in \operatorname{tp}(a/Cb) and φ(x,b)\varphi(x, b) forks over CC.

Claimed Proofs

Freitag and Mutchnik have posted a purported counterexample found by ChatGPT 5.6 Sol. See here.

Reference for the problem statement

[Mut26]Scott Mutchnik, Reducing stable forking dependence to finitely many pregeometries, arXiv preprint, 2026 [link]

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