Problem #1

Vaught's Conjecture

Open!!!Very high impact — resolution would be of award-level significance

Let TT be a complete first-order theory in a countable language, and let I(T,0)I(T, \aleph_0) denote the number of countable models of TT up to isomorphism. Vaught's Conjecture states that

I(T,0)0orI(T,0)=20.I(T, \aleph_0) \le \aleph_0 \quad \text{or} \quad I(T, \aleph_0) = 2^{\aleph_0}.

In other words, a complete countable theory cannot have a number of countable models that is strictly between countable and continuum many.

Reference for the problem statement

Robert L. Vaught, Denumerable models of complete theories, Infinitistic Methods (Proc. Symposium on Foundations of Mathematics, Warsaw), 1961

Definitions

  • Complete theory: a theory TT such that for every sentence φ\varphi in its language, either TφT \vdash \varphi or T¬φT \vdash \neg\varphi.
  • I(T,0)I(T, \aleph_0): the number of pairwise non-isomorphic countable models of TT.

Known Partial Results

  • The conjecture is known to hold for theories that are ω\omega-stable (Shelah, Harrington, Makkai).
  • It is also known for theories of trees and for various other restricted classes.
  • By a theorem of Morley, if TT has uncountably many countable models, it has either exactly 1\aleph_1 or exactly 202^{\aleph_0} many — so under CH the conjecture is trivial, but the independent case remains genuinely open.

Notes

Vaught's Conjecture is widely regarded as one of the central open problems in model theory, with deep connections to descriptive set theory (via the Topological Vaught Conjecture) and to the theory of Π11\Pi^1_1 equivalence relations.

Additional References

  • Vaught, R. L. "Denumerable models of complete theories." Infinitistic Methods, 1961.
  • Shelah, S. "Classification Theory." North-Holland, 1978 (revised edition 1990).
  • Steel, J. "On Vaught's conjecture." Cabal Seminar 76–77, Lecture Notes in Mathematics, 1978.

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